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lectures/cagan_ree.md

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@@ -617,6 +617,18 @@ plt.tight_layout()
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```
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It is instructive to compare the preceding graphs with graphs of log price levels and inflation rates for data from four big inflations described in
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{doc}`this lecture <inflation_history>`.
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In particular, in the above graphs, notice how a gradual fall in inflation precedes the "sudden stop" when it has been anticipated long beforehand, but how
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inflation instead falls abruptly when the permanent drop in money supply growth is unanticipated.
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It seems to the author team at quantecon that the drops in inflation near the ends of the four hyperinflations described in {doc}`this lecture <inflation_history>`
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more closely resemble outcomes from the experiment 2 "unforeseen stabilization".
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(It is fair to say that the preceding informal pattern recognition exercise should be supplemented with a more formal structural statistical analysis.)
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#### Experiment 3
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**Foreseen gradual stabilization**

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